There have
been two Republican presidential debates as of this writing. I have watched
neither of them.
Here’s my reasoning: This whole
business of candidates getting into the race reminds me of a marathon race. The
starting line is jammed with runners. Every single runner looks great, psyched,
and ready. The starter’s gun goes off and the mob surges forward. Jackrabbit
runners sprint out in front along with the best runners who are gathered at the
front. The multitude of long distance runners stays loosely together for the
early part of this 26.195 mile race. Gradually, smaller groups are formed, with
the best runners gathering in the front setting the pace. Competitors begin to
drop out for any number of reasons: cramps, dehydration, fatigue, lack of
stamina, illness, injury, and so on. Inevitably, the field of athletes is pared
down. Those who get to the 18 mile point often hit what is known in the
marathon world as “The Wall.” You have been pushing your body to the limit for
2/3rds of the race, and now it is screaming at you to stop, even threatening to
shut down if you do not stop. I’m told that if you can push yourself through,
ignoring as much as possible the rebelliousness of your body, you’ll make it to
the end.
It is this marathon race
principle that is the manner in which I take an interest in a political race in
general, and a presidential race in particular. All the candidates look and
sound great at the start, but eventually they begin to drop out for any number
of reasons. Most drop out early because the big money they need to support
their campaign is going to other candidates. Others realize they just are not
connecting with the electorate. A few do not have sufficient face/name
recognition to garner support to continue. Usually one or two have skeletons in
their closets that are found out (usually through the media) and remove
themselves as quietly and quickly as possible. Then there’s the “dark horse,”
the relative unknown, who comes out of nowhere to capture the attention of the
people. Jimmy Carter was one. Barack Obama was another. Knowing that should be
all you need to know about the folly of electing unknowns.
So I sit back and wait for the
dust to settle. I’m watching to see who’s still standing next February. Most of
those who are bailing out do so before the end of the year because the more
serious contenders need the money that is going to the likely “also rans.” And
make no mistake – this is all about money. If you, as a candidate, do not have
a war chest of money funding your candidacy, you’re through.
Several of the Republican candidates have
already thrown in the towel (Don’t you just love all these sports metaphors!). Rick
Perry and Scott Walker have dropped out. Rumors are floating about suggesting
that Bobby Jindal and George Pataki are on their way out. Same for Rand Paul.
The dust-up over Dr. Ben Carson’s
comments about a Muslim should never become our president, has brought out the nattering
nabobs to be sure. “He’s offended all Muslims. He should drop out of the race.”
And then there’s Donald Trump, often simply referred to as, The Donald. He made
some suggestion about how to handle the illegal immigrant debacle. Yet again,
the sensitivities of our mainstream media have been bruised. “He’s offended all
Mexicans. He should drop out of the race.” It’s okay. The journalistic leftists
(I believe that is a redundancy), will cry foul repeatedly regarding any Republican/Conservative
candidate from now until the fat lady sings (a tip of the hat to recently
departed Yogi Berra – one of a kind!).
Even though a number of folks
have stopped me to ask my thoughts on the current Republican candidates, I have
no idea what this field of wannabes will look like in six months. Trump has
enough money to stay in it on his own dime. Carson has received a huge
financial windfall following his remarks that a Muslim should never become
president. Carly Fiorina did very well in the second debate and has steadily
climbed in the polls.
I don’t think, however, that
Mike Huckabee, nor Chris Christie will be around very much longer. Jeb Bush may
be the choice of the Republican establishment in DC, but I don’t believe he is
catching fire with the populace. Also, a third Bush presidency doesn’t seem to
have much life with “We the People.” This is just my personal opinion.
In answer to the question that
headlines this article, “Who Knows?” let me offer this thought. God knows! He
knows who our next president will be, and these are words of advice found in
the Bible (Psalm 2:10-12 Easy-to-Read Version) that
should be heeded by that president and any other leaders. “So, kings and rulers, be smart and learn this lesson. Serve the Lord
with fear and trembling. Show that you are loyal to his son (Jesus), or the
Lord will be angry and destroy you. He is almost angry enough to do that now,
but those who go to him for protection will be blessed.”
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